Tavern is shit and we all know it.

X-Zero13

MylarHyrule replied at 2017-11-16 15:28
your win rate should be about 33.3%...   you only have a logical one in three chance to win...   wit ...

Assuming that the AI's choices are randomly generated, the winning chance is actually 50%... since a tie results in a free re-try, u effectively can only win or lose. But that's just numbers...

What I actually wanna say: I've been told once that no matter what u actually klick, the chance for winning is pre-determined by the game - and it increases with the higher lvl jankens. Doing janken vs the lv 110 partners has a higher success rate than janken against the lv 70 partners. And judging by my own experience, this seems to be true. Out of lazyness, I usually janken vs the lv 110 partners now and feel like I've a rather good success rate. But when I janken for purple reishi, it feels likie I need ages to actually get one win.

MylarHyrule

X-Zero13 replied at 2017-11-17 11:25
Assuming that the AI's choices are randomly generated, the winning chance is actually 50%... since ...

I could for sure see some level of bias...  especially in the level 70 tavern

kinghollow1

My guess is they follow a pattern that changes with your wins and loses (draws also) becouse i found that kenpachi at lvl 90 tavern has a higher chance of going rock first and scissors as his secondary choice and rarely using paper (i simply got reishi becouse i "kinda" figured out what are kenpachis prefferences in janken)Etc. I use paper and win against kenpachi with rock leading kenpachi to have a higher % to choose scissors instead of rock next time i get him
I dont have any proof of that its just an example how it is to me

And my advice is just find a partners most used first pick, second most used and what he uses after you draw with rock/paper/scissors with him

Melonraider321

X-Zero13 replied at 2017-11-17 11:25
Assuming that the AI's choices are randomly generated, the winning chance is actually 50%... since ...

Yeah, no matter what u click, it already has an outcome for your janken. saying that u got a 50% win rate sounds and is terribly wrong, im sorry to say. It seems like they know which one u r going to pick, then chooses accordingly, maybe 1/5 give u reishi at best.

thedemonslayer

trojandrew replied at 2017-11-16 22:54
on average for 10x janken you get between 25-35 gold reishi, i've had it were i've gotten under 10 a ...

I've had times where I've gotten 0 from a 10X janken