Refresh red sled or one click

SosaRey

noctustheking replied at 2015-12-28 23:40
ive already reset a couple of times and gotten red sleighs a couple of times for under 500 gold
and  ...

My point exactly.  If I had done this from day 1, on day 5, I'd have gotten 15000 cards (1.5X10 free tries).  If I oneclick reached it to avoid robs, it would've been 1000 more cards, 16000.  So If I wanted a 20k point partner say, like hikifune or b.renji all I'd need to spend is 5k gold roughly, considering I spend 500 gold a day to reset and get red sleighs.  I'm pretty sure it would even be under 500 at times.  

So in total a hikifune or b.renji would have costed 5k gold total, if I started from day 1 all the way to 5.  3k gold cheaper than using one click reach.  

Though the event is almost over and I got no time machine to return to day, 1, lol.  

NNatsu

Alright, update time.
First try took me 8 refreshes to get a red sled, my second try took 15.
It might be a higher chance than I thought.

NNatsu

NNatsu replied at 2015-12-29 02:15
Alright, update time.
First try took me 8 refreshes to get a red sled, my second try took 15.
It mig ...

My third took me 64.

noctustheking

NNatsu replied at 2015-12-29 02:30
My third took me 64.

in the end you save some gold =P

NNatsu

noctustheking replied at 2015-12-29 02:36
in the end you save some gold =P

My fourth I refreshed 155 times before just stopping with a gold and calling it a night.

SosaRey

NNatsu replied at 2015-12-29 02:15
Alright, update time.
First try took me 8 refreshes to get a red sled, my second try took 15.
It mig ...

Yeah I had a hunch of this.  If I would have done this from day 1, at the end of day 5 I'd only need 5k gold to get b.renji, a really really low price and 3k cheaper than getting him in oneclick red, but oh well, what's done is done.  I got no time machine.

Thanks for the info.

SosaRey

NNatsu replied at 2015-12-29 02:40
My fourth I refreshed 155 times before just stopping with a gold and calling it a night.

OH wow.  155, that's a lot, but at least you got it fast in earlier tries, I guess that made it up.

NNatsu

SosaRey replied at 2015-12-29 03:09
OH wow.  155, that's a lot, but at least you got it fast in earlier tries, I guess that made it up ...

Yeah it evened out and I ended up still saving gold, I think the safe bet would be to just stick with one click tbh.

SosaRey

NNatsu replied at 2015-12-29 03:10
Yeah it evened out and I ended up still saving gold, I think the safe bet would be to just stick w ...

Let me analyze the data collected.  4 tries were done.  4 red sleds.  That equals 1500 X4 = 6000 xmas cards enough for a tier 11 hogu.  Now the cost.  80gold +150+640+1550+1000= 3420.  

NOrmal price if oneclicked red = 4000.  Gold saved equals 580 gold.  All this is without counting the extra 6k gold from conveying after 2 free tries.  


So, the only bad lucked part was in the 4th try.  But imagine if you got it in 50 tries.  Then the gold spent would have been 80+150+640+500 = 1370 gold, which is a incredibly good price for a tier 11 hogu.  

But it's all about luck, might be more cheaper of expensive depending on luck.

NNatsu

SosaRey replied at 2015-12-29 03:36
Let me analyze the data collected.  4 tries were done.  4 red sleds.  That equals 1500 X4 = 6000 x ...

I'm saying that I don't tend to gamble with my money lol, I think the smarter thing to do would be to one click it, because each of those had the chance to take 155 chances, I don't think it's worth the risk.